TPC Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: The recent bridge contract win and historically low P/B ratio of 0.3 indicate strong revenue potential. Additionally, TPC's implied volatility remains high, suggesting an upward price movement as market sentiment improves post-contract announcement.


Bearish Case: Insider selling concerns combined with flat recent price action and elevated volatility imply significant risks. Given market skepticism, TPC might face downward pressure unless upcoming earnings show remarkable gains consistent with forecasts.


Potential Outcomes:

1. High market volatility leading to a 30% chance of significant gains (up to 20%) post-earnings.

2. Continued insider pressure causing a 50% chance of a 15% drop.

3. Stabilization at current levels (20% chance). Prediction based on term structure trends and volatility surface analysis.


Trading Oracle: Adopt a bullish stance with a near-term focus. Execute a debit spread: purchase August 2024 $22.5 calls and sell August 2024 $25 calls. This leverages expected volatility, targets short-term gains, and offers high reward-to-risk. Adjust position as new data emerges to refine strategy.


July 24, 2024


Tutor Perini Forecast

TPC      Tutor Perini











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with TPC



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.92)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.51)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.62)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.69)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to TPC



XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.51)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.62)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.69)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.92)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against TPC



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.92)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.51)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.62)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.69)


TPC News over Time





Click points to explore news by date. News sentiment ranges from -10 (very negative) to +10 (very positive) where 0 is neutral.






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