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AI TPC Forecast

Price Forecast:

Bearish <-> Bullish

Bullish Case: Increased demand for TPC options and expanding contract wins may indicate strong growth potential. The implied volatility spike suggests expectations of upward movement, supported by a historically low price-to-book ratio.

Bearish Case: Ongoing market skepticism due to substantial prior insider selling and current flat price action may drive further declines. Elevated implied volatility indicates potential for rapid fluctuations, exposing buyers to significant downside risk.

Potential Outcomes:

1. 40% chance of moderate price gain (10-15%) due to contract news.

2. 35% likelihood of further declines (5-10%) from insider selling fallout.

3. 25% chance for stabilization at current levels.

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September 12, 2024

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Assets that tend to move strongly with TPC

BAC Bank Of America (0.98)

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FTAI Fortress Transportation and Infrastructure Investors (0.97)

VT Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard Total World Stock (0.97)

VTI Vanguard Total Stock Market (0.97)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to TPC

THO Thor Industries (0.0)

KHC Kraft Heinz (0.0)

BUR Burford (0.0)

UCO ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Crude Oil (0.0)

GES Guess (-0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against TPC

MED Medifast (-0.94)

SQQQ ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ (-0.95)

SH ProShares Short S&P500 (-0.96)

SPXS Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.96)

SDS ProShares UltraShort S&P500 (-0.96)

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