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TRP Forecast + Trading Strategies



Price Forecast:


Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: Increased demand for natural gas and clean energy initiatives, driven by regulatory support and market conditions, leads to a positive earnings trajectory for TRP, further enhanced by stable dividend yields and insider buying signals.



Bearish Case: Unforeseen legal challenges, particularly linked to the Keystone XL project, alongside persistent market skepticism about the spin-off of liquid pipelines, could create significant downward pressure on TRP’s stock price and investor confidence.



Potential Outcomes:

1. Positive earnings surprise (50%);

2. Major Keystone XL legal ruling (30%);

3. Market volatility decreases (20%);

4. Increased environmental compliance issues (15%);

5. New strategic partnerships drive growth (10%).



Trading Oracle: Implement a bullish credit spread utilizing $45 and $47.50 put options, expiring in 38 days, to capitalize on high implied volatility and mean-reversion tendencies of TRP. This strategy offers a robust 77% chance of profit, targeting a potential return of 19%, while managing risk effectively in the near-term.


November 14, 2024


TC Energy Forecast

TRP        TC Energy

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Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to TRP


IGT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IGT  International Game Technology (0.0)


RRR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RRR  Red Rock Resorts (-0.0)


CZR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CZR  Caesars Entertainment (-0.01)


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Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against TRP


ALV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ALV  Autoliv (-0.66)


OXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OXY  Occidental Petroleum (-0.69)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.69)


MUR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MUR  Murphy Oil (-0.72)


RILY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RILY  B. Riley Financial (-0.74)







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