UGI Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: UGI could benefit from impending regulatory relief and strategic shifts aimed at renewable energy, driving modest but consistent growth.


Bearish Case: UGI faces long-term headwinds from regulatory challenges, market saturation, and shifts towards renewables, impacting profitability negatively.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Regulatory changes stifling profits (40%).

2. Market competition intensifies (50%).

3. Natural gas demand recovery benefits UGI (40%).

4. Shift to renewables reduces demand (60%). +19% chance near-term recovery.


Trading Oracle: Utilize a bearish credit spread setup. Sell 1 $25.0 strike call options; buy 2 $30.0 strike call options expiring in around 95 days. With 1:0.1 edge and elevated implied volatilities, capitalize on flat-to-bearish trend. High probability-of-profit with controlled downside.


July 17, 2024










Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with UGI



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.49)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.41)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.03)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.11)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to UGI



LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.03)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.11)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.41)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.49)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against UGI



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.49)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.41)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.03)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.11)


UGI News over Time





Click points to explore news by date. News sentiment ranges from -10 (very negative) to +10 (very positive) where 0 is neutral.






Become a more profitable investor with AI optimized trading strategies






×

Chat with UGI


 Ask any question about UGI!