UMH Forecast


Bullish Case: UMH's likely income growth from strategic acquisitions and strong local market demand could lead to price appreciation. Recent market volatility suggests a rebound in investor sentiment, increasing demand for the stock.


Bearish Case: High implied volatility signals market uncertainty around UMH's future performance. An oversaturation of manufactured homes could suppress growth, coupled with rising interest rates impacting affordability and leading to a decrease in demand.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Strong rental demand boosts UMH shares (30%);

2. Economic downturn reduces demand for manufactured homes (40%);

3. Increased dividends lead to greater investor interest (20%);

4. Market prices remain stagnant (10%).


Trading Oracle: Adopt a bullish stance with a debit spread strategy—buy UMH calls at $20 and sell calls at $25, capitalizing on expected volatility trends. Given high implied volatility, this approach offers a favorable risk/reward profile.


July 24, 2024


UMH Properties Forecast

UMH      UMH Properties











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with UMH



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.68)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.38)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.32)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.35)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to UMH



VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.32)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.35)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.38)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.68)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against UMH



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.68)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.38)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.32)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.35)


UMH News over Time





Click points to explore news by date. News sentiment ranges from -10 (very negative) to +10 (very positive) where 0 is neutral.






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