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UNG Forecast

Price Forecast:

Bearish <-> Bullish

Bullish Case: A strong winter demand combined with geopolitical tensions could drive natural gas prices higher, supported by rising implied volatility indicating potential price recovery.

Bearish Case: Economic slowdowns and mild weather forecasts may suppress demand for natural gas, leading to additional price declines as reflected in high short-term option sell volume and low trading activity.

Potential Outcomes:

1) 40% chance of a 15% price rise driven by winter demand.

2) 35% chance of static prices.

3) 25% chance of a 10% downturn due to economic factors.

Trading Oracle: Execute a bullish debit spread by buying $14 calls and selling $15 calls expiring in December. This exploits high implied volatility and projected price recovery with excellent risk-reward ratio, targeting a 25% upside in coming weeks.

November 19, 2024

United States Commodity Funds Forecast

UNG United States Commodity Funds

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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SIMO Silicon Motion Technology (0.6)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to UNG

OUST Ouster (-0.0)

CRNC Cerence (0.0)

VSAT Viasat (0.01)

HIMS Hims & Hers Health (0.01)

NRG NRG Energy (0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against UNG

EPR EPR Properties (-0.58)

YOU Clear Secure (-0.59)

VNO Vornado Realty (-0.6)

AVXL Anavex Life Sciences (-0.61)

QURE uniQure (-0.61)

UNG News over Time

Click points to explore news by date. News sentiment ranges from -10 (very negative) to +10 (very positive) where 0 is neutral.

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