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USB Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: USB's mean-reverting pattern suggests potential for a steady rebound. Increased call volume indicates bullish sentiment, and regulatory support for stablecoin initiatives could offer new growth opportunities.

Bearish Case: Backwardation in the options term structure suggests near-term uncertainty. Continuing macroeconomic challenges, like global currency shifts, could further strain USB's margins.

Potential Outcomes: Financial recovery boosts USB: 40%
Persisting macro pressures weigh down: 40%
Moderate upswing from mean reversion: 15%
Market shocks depress prices: 5%

June 20, 2025

U.S. Bancorp. Forecast

USB U.S. Bancorp.

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with USB

RF Regions Financial (0.97)

PNC PNC Financial Services (0.97)

FITB Fifth Third Bancorp (0.96)

VB Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard Small Cap (0.95)

IJH BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares Core S&P Mid-Cap (0.94)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to USB

COPX Global X Funds - Global X Copper Miners (0.0)

BAX Baxter International (-0.0)

GOOS Canada Goose Holdings Inc (Subord Vot Shs) (-0.01)

INTC Intel (0.01)

YINN Direxion Daily FTSE China Bull 3X Shares (0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against USB

POWW AMMO (-0.49)

KO Coca-Cola (-0.5)

OKTA Okta (-0.51)

SPXU ProShares UltraPro Short S&P 500 (-0.59)

STNE StoneCo (-0.59)

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