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USB Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: USB's strategic partnerships, like with State Farm, could drive growth amid stabilizing asset quality. Lower implied volatility suggests market confidence in recovery.

Bearish Case: Recent high volumes of put options and backwardation indicate persistent bearish sentiment. Challenges in commercial real estate and macroeconomic uncertainties remain significant.

Potential Outcomes: Recovery due to strategic growth: 50%
Continued downward trend from external pressures: 35%
Slight recovery driven by mean reversion: 10%
Unexpected market shocks causing declines: 5%

April 09, 2025

U.S. Bancorp. Forecast

USB U.S. Bancorp.

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with USB

PNC PNC Financial Services (0.97)

IJH BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares Core S&P Mid-Cap (0.93)

KKR KKR (0.93)

IWR BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares Russell Mid-Cap (0.93)

EWBC East West Bancorp (0.93)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to USB

SNY Sanofi (-0.0)

ADI Analog Devices (-0.01)

IFF International Flavors & Fragrances (0.01)

EPI WisdomTree India Earnings (0.02)

HXL Hexcel (0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against USB

VSAT Viasat (-0.57)

WBA Walgreens Boots Alliance (-0.6)

SHEL Shell Plc - ADR (Representing) (-0.68)

UDN Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bearish (-0.71)

EC Ecopetrol SA (-0.81)

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