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AI USB Forecast

Price Forecast:

Bearish <-> Bullish

Bullish Case: USB could benefit from recovery trends in the financial sector, coupled with improved earnings forecasts and robust SBA loan activity, suggesting upward price momentum.

Bearish Case: Persistent economic uncertainty and potential deterioration in commercial real estate could lead to further downside risk for USB, exacerbating its current volatility.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Financial sector recovery boosts USB (40%).

2. Market headwinds from economic challenges pressure USB (35%).

3. Mean reversion drives slight upswing (15%).

4. External shocks cause sharp declines (10%).

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October 02, 2024

U.S. Bancorp. Forecast

USB U.S. Bancorp.

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with USB

DHI D.R. Horton (0.91)

DPST Direxion Daily Regional Banks Bull 3X Shares (0.89)

VNQ Vanguard Real Estate Index (0.88)

VNO Vornado Realty (0.88)

BLK Blackrock (0.88)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to USB

RMBS Rambus (-0.0)

UNFI United Natural Foods (0.0)

ATSG Air Transport Services (0.0)

DNN Denison Mines (-0.0)

NOG Northern Oil and Gas (-0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against USB

SRTY ProShares UltraPro Short Russell2000 (-0.75)

TBT PowerShares UltraShort Lehman 20+ Yea (-0.76)

TMV Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X Shares (-0.76)

RWM ProShares Trust - ProShares Short Russell2000 (-0.79)

DRV Direxion Daily Real Estate Bear 3X Shares (-0.86)

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