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USB Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: USB benefits from easing credit standards and digital transformation, driving growth amidst historical resilience.

Bearish Case: Rising loan defaults and economic downturn risks could overshadow gains, exacerbating downward pressures.

Potential Outcomes: Economic stability boosts USB (40% chance)
Rising defaults reduce price (35% chance)
Moderate regulatory tailwinds stabilize outlook (15% chance)
Unexpected market shocks disrupt recovery (10% chance)

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December 31, 2024

U.S. Bancorp. Forecast

USB U.S. Bancorp.

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with USB

CBRE CBRE (0.88)

DEI Douglas Emmett (0.86)

SHW Sherwin-Williams (0.85)

VNQ Vanguard Real Estate Index (0.84)

ZION Zions Bancorporation N.A (0.82)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to USB

DQ Daqo New Energy (0.02)

DELL Dell (-0.02)

MPWR Monolithic Power System (-0.02)

DNN Denison Mines (-0.02)

MCK Mckesson (0.03)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against USB

RILY B. Riley Financial (-0.68)

SPXS Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.68)

TNK Teekay Tankers (-0.69)

NEP NextEra Energy (-0.69)

ASML New York Shares (-0.71)

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