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USFD Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: USFD's acquisitions and strategic expansions indicate continued market growth, supported by institutional backing and favorable sentiment, driving potential upward price momentum.

Bearish Case: Ongoing legal challenges and market volatility may strain USFD's financial stability, threaten market share, and pose downside risks amid an uncertain economic landscape.

Potential Outcomes: 60% chance growth from acquisitions, 20% legal issues hamper progress, 20% market volatility impacts price.

Trading Oracle: Consider a bullish long call spread, buying $70 and selling $75 calls, as data indicates positive momentum and low volatility. Optimal expiration in 3 months captures potential upside amidst flat implied volatility. This strategy shows favorable reward-to-risk while managing downside with strategic legs.

January 23, 2025

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USFD US Foods

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with USFD

IWR BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares Russell Mid-Cap (0.94)

UNM Unum (0.92)

VTV Vanguard Value (0.92)

MFC Manulife Financial (0.91)

VOO Vanguard S&P 500 (0.91)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to USFD

APH Amphenol (-0.0)

CPS Cooper-Standard (-0.01)

FXY Invesco CurrencyShares Japanese Yen (-0.02)

INTU Intuit (-0.02)

FMC FMC (-0.03)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against USFD

XRX Xerox (-0.81)

COTY Coty (-0.83)

AMR Alta Mesa Resources (-0.84)

IEP Icahn (-0.86)

SPXS Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.92)

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