AI UVXY Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: Elevated implied volatility suggests potential for significant spikes due to market uncertainties. Geopolitical tensions or economic shifts could catalyze increased demand for UVXY as a hedge, driving prices upward.


Bearish Case: Current market stability indicates a prolonged downward trend for UVXY, reinforced by historical price action showing mean reversion. Persistent contango in the term structure may lead to further declines, limiting upside potential.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Geopolitical event spikes UVXY: 25%

2. Economic data causes volatility spikes: 20%

3. Stable markets lead to UVXY decline: 45%

4. Unexpected inflation or Fed policy change increases UVXY: 10%


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August 22, 2024


ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures Forecast

UVXY      ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with UVXY



SPXU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXU  ProShares UltraPro Short S&P 500 (0.97)


MAG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MAG  MAG Silver (0.78)


PAAS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PAAS  Pan American Silver (0.74)


AMRK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMRK  A-Mark Precious Metals (0.74)


CPNG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CPNG  Coupang (0.73)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to UVXY



LFMD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LFMD  LifeMD (-0.0)


EXEL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EXEL  Exelixis (-0.0)


AVTR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AVTR  Avantor (-0.0)


PSNL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PSNL  Personalis (-0.0)


SMCI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SMCI  Super Micro Computer (0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against UVXY



LESL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LESL  Leslies (-0.81)


BRZE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BRZE  Braze (-0.81)


INTC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   INTC  Intel (-0.84)


JBHT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   JBHT  J.B. Hunt Transport Services (-0.84)


CVS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CVS  CVS Health (-0.84)





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