UVXY Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: A spike in geopolitical tensions or unexpected market shocks could dramatically increase UVXY, leveraging its structure to capitalize on rising volatility.




Bearish Case: Flattening term structures and high implied volatility coupled with contango continue exerting downwards pressure, as historical data suggests mean reversion towards lower prices.




Potential Outcomes:

1. Stability leads to UVXY decline (60%).

2. Minor volatility spikes from unforeseen events (20%).

3. Significant geopolitical or financial shock spikes volatility (10%).

4. Unexpected policy changes stabilize (10%).




Trading Oracle:

Given the current UVXY term structure and historical decay patterns, a Bullish Long Volatility strategy is strategically viable. The potential for sudden volatility spikes amid geopolitical uncertainties supports an opportunistic upside with manageable risk exposure, relying on leveraged calls.



March 30, 2025


ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures Forecast

UVXY        ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with UVXY



KDP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KDP  Keurig Dr Pepper (0.55)


PEP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PEP  Pepsico (0.54)


RMR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RMR  RMR Group Inc (The) - (0.49)


RWM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RWM  ProShares Trust - ProShares Short Russell2000 (0.47)


IFF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IFF  International Flavors & Fragrances (0.47)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to UVXY



VERA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VERA  Vera Therapeutics (0.0)


SG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SG  Sweetgreen (0.0)


DAR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DAR  Darling Ingredients (-0.0)


CZR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CZR  Caesars Entertainment (-0.0)


CVS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CVS  CVS Health (0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against UVXY



NCLH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NCLH  Norwegian Cruise Line (-0.6)


TPR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TPR  Tapestry (-0.62)


GL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GL  Globe Life (-0.63)


QQQJ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   QQQJ  Invesco NASDAQ Next Gen 100 (-0.65)


ARKK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ARKK  ARK Innovation (-0.73)









Become a more profitable investor with AI optimized trading strategies






×

Chat with UVXY


 Ask any question about UVXY!