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VERA Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: VERA's upcoming clinical trials could leverage low recent volatility and a strong pipeline, potentially driving substantial investor interest and stock appreciation.

Bearish Case: High implied volatility on puts and competition pressures might signal steep risks, with setbacks in clinical trials potentially leading to sharp declines.

Potential Outcomes: Expect positive trial outcomes (40%) driving growth, or dilution/news of setbacks (30%) causing decline. Stable progression without major news (20%). Unexpected market correction risks (10%).

Trading Oracle: Strategically utilize VERA's flat volatility structure. Implement a bullish debit spread: buy $40 call, sell $50 call with June expiration. This captures upside from positive trial results, balancing current volatility with a favorable risk-reward profile.

February 06, 2025

Vera Therapeutics Forecast

VERA Vera Therapeutics

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to VERA

RMBS Rambus (0.0)

WIX Wix.com (0.0)

ERJ Embraer (-0.0)

NTLA Intellia Therapeutics (-0.0)

AGIO Agios Pharmaceuticals (0.0)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against VERA

HIMX Himax (-0.48)

BLBD Blue Bird (-0.49)

ONTO Onto Innovation (-0.54)

TNDM Tandem Diabetes Care (-0.55)

AZN Astrazeneca (-0.56)

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