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VERX Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Recent innovative diabetes treatments and strategic EU drug approvals boost optimism despite recent layoffs. Potential for growth in CF and AI-driven tax solutions.

Bearish Case: Recent layoffs due to diabetes trial failure and high implied volatility suggest market apprehension. Implied volatility remains elevated, signaling potential downside.

Potential Outcomes:

1. EU drug approvals boost stock by 5% (50%),

2. Continued layoffs impact negatively (-3%) (40%),

3. Stable growth with AI and partnerships (60%).

July 02, 2025

Vertex Forecast

VERX Vertex

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with VERX

AAON AAON (0.87)

KKR KKR (0.77)

IJH BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares Core S&P Mid-Cap (0.76)

VSCO Victoria's Secret (0.76)

OWL Blue Owl (0.75)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to VERX

ALL Allstate (0.0)

ALHC Alignment Healthcare (-0.0)

HL Hecla Mining (-0.0)

TDW Tidewater Inc. - New (0.01)

AB AllianceBernstein (0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against VERX

VOD Vodafone (-0.51)

STNE StoneCo (-0.52)

TTE TotalEnergies SE (-0.53)

KO Coca-Cola (-0.54)

BVN Compania de Minas Buenaventura S.A. (-0.55)

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