VERX Forecast


Bullish Case: VERX's innovative tax solutions and AI capabilities from Ryan, LLC, alongside strong historical returns, paint a picture of sustained growth. Implied volatility gives a positive edge, suggesting upcoming bullish movements.


Bearish Case: Insider selling, legal scrutiny, and market uncertainties create headwinds for VERX. Discrepancies in market and Helium implied volatility highlight potential overpricing of options, suggesting vulnerability to future declines.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Significant revenue from new AI tax capabilities (60%);

2. Ongoing legal issues dampen stock (50%);

3. Insider selling triggers market distrust (40%);

4. Market saturation challenges growth (30%).


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June 25, 2024


Vertex Forecast

VERX      Vertex











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LRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LRN  Stride (0.92)


AM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AM  Antero Midstream (0.92)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to VERX



CORT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CORT  Corcept Therapeutics (0.0)


CRI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRI  Carters (0.0)


SRG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SRG  Seritage Growth Properties (0.01)


IONS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IONS  Ionis Pharmaceuticals (0.01)


EOG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EOG  EOG Resources (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against VERX



HTZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HTZ  Hertz Global Holdings (-0.91)


MED Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MED  Medifast (-0.92)


NVST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NVST  Envista (-0.92)


LAZR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LAZR  Luminar (-0.92)


SHLS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SHLS  Shoals (-0.93)





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