VV Forecast


Bullish Case: VV exhibits strong historical return likelihoods, especially in longer holding periods. Coupled with positive price action and robust institutional interest, this sustained uptrend predicts probable gains.


Bearish Case: Elevated market volatility and potential macroeconomic disruptions present substantial risk. Increased put option volume suggests bearish sentiment, with Helium-model volatility exceeding market expectations.


Potential Outcomes:

1) Continued uptrend: 50%.

2) Market correction: 35%.

3) Sideways movement: 15%. Analysis rooted in historical performance, implied volatility surfaces, and macro risks.


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July 14, 2024


Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard Large Cap Forecast

VV      Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard Large Cap











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with VV



SSO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SSO  ProShares Ultra S&P500 (1.0)


UPRO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UPRO  ProShares UltraPro S&P 500 (1.0)


SPYG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPYG  SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 Growth (1.0)


VOO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VOO  Vanguard S&P 500 (1.0)


SPLG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPLG  SPDR Series Trust - SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 (1.0)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to VV



SMPL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SMPL  Simply Good Foods (0.0)


CFLT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CFLT  Confluent (-0.01)


NEP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NEP  NextEra Energy (0.01)


CRI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRI  Carters (0.01)


HR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HR  Healthcare Realty Trust (-0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against VV



TZA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TZA  Direxion Daily Small Cap Bear 3X Shares (-0.93)


DXD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DXD  ProShares UltraShort Dow30 (-0.95)


VIXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VIXY  ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.97)


SQQQ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SQQQ  ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ (-0.99)


SH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SH  ProShares Short S&P500 (-1.0)





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