WELL Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Favorable healthcare trends, stable price, and high call trading volume suggest further upward momentum.




Bearish Case: High volatility and mean reversion tendencies hint at potential downside, especially amid macroeconomic pressures.




Potential Outcomes: 60% growth with stable volatility; 30% stagnation due to mean reversion; 10% decline from economic downturn.




Trading Oracle: Execute a bullish debit spread, buy WELL $135 call, sell $140 call, expiring March 2025. Leverage current volatility curve backwardation for upside potential. Target stable healthcare sector with 85% profit probability and high reward:risk.



February 19, 2025


Welltower Forecast

WELL        Welltower











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with WELL



PM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PM  Philip Morris International (0.97)


TMUS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TMUS  T-Mobile US (0.96)


ALHC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ALHC  Alignment Healthcare (0.95)


GWRE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GWRE  Guidewire Software (0.95)


KGC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KGC  Kinross Gold (0.94)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to WELL



FXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FXY  Invesco CurrencyShares Japanese Yen (0.0)


SKYT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SKYT  SkyWater Technology (-0.01)


TNDM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TNDM  Tandem Diabetes Care (0.01)


ING Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ING  ING Groep (0.01)


KRP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KRP  Kimbell Royalty Partners (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against WELL



AVNW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AVNW  Aviat Networks (-0.91)


XRX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XRX  Xerox (-0.91)


APLS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   APLS  Apellis Pharmaceuticals (-0.91)


EL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EL  Estee Lauder Cos. (-0.92)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.93)









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