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WELL Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Favorable healthcare trends, stable price, and high call trading volume suggest further upward momentum.

Bearish Case: High volatility and mean reversion tendencies hint at potential downside, especially amid macroeconomic pressures.

Potential Outcomes: 60% growth with stable volatility; 30% stagnation due to mean reversion; 10% decline from economic downturn.

Trading Oracle: Execute a bullish debit spread, buy WELL $135 call, sell $140 call, expiring March 2025. Leverage current volatility curve backwardation for upside potential. Target stable healthcare sector with 85% profit probability and high reward:risk.

February 19, 2025

Welltower Forecast

WELL Welltower

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with WELL

PM Philip Morris International (0.97)

ALHC Alignment Healthcare (0.95)

KGC Kinross Gold (0.94)

ERJ Embraer (0.94)

SATS EchoStar (0.93)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to WELL

VOD Vodafone (-0.0)

IFF International Flavors & Fragrances (-0.01)

BHVN Biohaven Pharmaceutical (0.01)

ODFL Old Dominion Freight Line (0.03)

ING ING Groep (-0.05)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against WELL

LYB LyondellBasell Industries (-0.86)

WFRD Weatherford International plc - New (-0.86)

APLS Apellis Pharmaceuticals (-0.89)

SPXS Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.89)

GES Guess (-0.92)

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