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WTI Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: WTI’s rapid price recovery, geopolitical tensions, and production cuts suggest a bullish outlook, with technical support at $70.95 and potential targets above $75.

Bearish Case: High implied volatility and historical mean reversion indicate potential for price correction. Concerns about high inventories and market pressures persist.

Potential Outcomes: Oil Price Rally: 35% chance - Geopolitical disruptions boost prices.
Flat Trading: 40% chance - Price stabilization around current levels.
Price Drop: 25% chance - Continued high inventories and demand issues.

June 18, 2025

W & T Offshore Forecast

WTI W & T Offshore

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with WTI

CVE Cenovus Energy (0.93)

NXPI NXP Semiconductors (0.91)

CLF Cleveland-Cliffs (0.91)

MUR Murphy Oil (0.91)

TDW Tidewater Inc. - New (0.9)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to WTI

OUST Ouster (0.0)

DVY BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares Select Dividend (-0.0)

PEG Public Service Enterprise (0.0)

QLD ProShares Ultra QQQ (0.01)

CVGW Calavo Growers (0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against WTI

LRN Stride (-0.82)

CORT Corcept Therapeutics (-0.82)

SAP Sap SE (-0.82)

VRSN Verisign (-0.85)

CNP Centerpoint Energy (-0.86)

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