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WW Forecast + Trading Strategies



Price Forecast:


Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: WW's new low-cost GLP-1 weight-loss drug can capture market share amid rising obesity concerns, leveraging significant interest seen in call options signaling bullish sentiment.



Bearish Case: Persistent high debt levels and competitive pressure from established pharma firms threaten WW's recovery efforts, risking further price declines amidst market skepticism.



Potential Outcomes:
  • 40% chance: Successful integration of new drug increases revenue.
  • 30% chance: Continued high debt impacts financial stability.
  • 20% chance: Market volatility restricts significant price moves.
  • 10% chance: Competitive pressures from major pharmaceutical players lead to setbacks.



Trading Oracle: Consider a bullish debit spread using January 2025 $2.00 call options, buying and selling strategic upside with current high implied volatility. Focus on turning potential price recovery into profit while managing risk through a delta-neutral approach. High premium amid positive news supports a bullish outlook, suggesting 60% probability of a successful outcome.


December 11, 2024


WW International Forecast

WW        WW International

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with WW


CRSR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRSR  Corsair Gaming (0.93)


WBA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WBA  Walgreens Boots Alliance (0.92)


LULU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LULU  Lululemon Athletica inc. (0.91)


HELE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HELE  Helen of Troy (0.91)


BEN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BEN  Franklin Resources (0.9)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to WW


IOVA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IOVA  Iovance Biotherapeutics (-0.0)


VLO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VLO  Valero Energy (0.0)


FOSL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FOSL  Fossil (0.0)


FRO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FRO  Frontline (-0.01)


TTWO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TTWO  Take-Two Interactive Software (0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against WW


PGR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PGR  Progressive (-0.85)


MO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MO  Altria (-0.86)


IDR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IDR  Idaho Strategic Resources (-0.86)


GDDY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GDDY  Godaddy (-0.86)


HEI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HEI  Heico (-0.86)







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