HST Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Travel sector recovery could increase demand for HST properties, potentially boosting revenue and stock price.




Bearish Case: High put volume and economic uncertainties, including inflation and interest rates, pose risks for HST's near-term performance.




Potential Outcomes:
  • 50% Chance: Market stagnation keeps prices stable (around $13).
  • 30% Chance: Economic recovery boosts prices (> $15).
  • 20% Chance: Continued economic downturn drops prices (< $11).




Trading Oracle: Utilize Bearish Long Volatility due to high put volumes and overall negative sentiment; this strategy captures downside risk while volatility is priced above usual levels.



April 05, 2025


Host Hotels & Resorts Forecast

HST        Host Hotels & Resorts











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M Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   M  Macy's (0.81)


ATKR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ATKR  Atkore (0.79)


DELL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DELL  Dell (0.77)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to HST



SSO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SSO  ProShares Ultra S&P500 (-0.01)


TAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TAL  TAL Education (0.01)


IMO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IMO  Imperial Oil (0.02)


CG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CG  Carlyle (0.03)


RJF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RJF  Raymond James Financial (-0.03)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against HST



PPC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PPC  Pilgrim's Pride (-0.64)


VIXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VIXY  ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.64)


VXX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VXX  iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.66)


ICE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ICE  Intercontinental Exchange (-0.68)


ORI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ORI  Old Republic International (-0.68)









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