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HST Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: HST’s recent strategic acquisitions and recovering travel demand present growth potential, supported by low implied volatility and a positive AI forecast. Backwardation suggests short-term upward movement potential.

Bearish Case: Economic uncertainties, including interest rate hikes and a sluggish business travel recovery, pose risks. Low social media sentiment and declining recent prices might hinder robust gains.

Potential Outcomes: 45%: Price stabilizes around $17 due to recovering demand and strategic growth.
35%: Economic pressures drop prices below $16.
20%: Strong economic recovery pushes price towards $20.

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January 22, 2025

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HST Host Hotels & Resorts

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with HST

TDOC Teladoc Health (0.92)

CRSR Corsair Gaming (0.86)

LAC Lithium Americas (0.85)

WW WW International (0.84)

NGL NGL Energy Partners (0.84)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to HST

WPC W. P. Carey (-0.0)

TNK Teekay Tankers (0.0)

FEZ SPDR EURO Stoxx 50 (-0.01)

EMR Emerson Electric (0.01)

VSCO Victoria's Secret (0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against HST

LTH Life Time (-0.75)

FE Firstenergy (-0.76)

ZETA Zeta Global Holdings Corp (-0.78)

PSFE Paysafe Limited (-0.78)

KO Coca-Cola (-0.82)

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