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HST Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: HST's backwardation indicates potential for upward moves with favorable implied volatility conditions.



Bearish Case: Heavy put option volume suggests bearish sentiment and potential downside pressure on HST.



Potential Outcomes: 45% chance of slow recovery towards $18; 35% probability of sideways movement around $16; 20% risk of decline below $15 due to increased market volatility.



Trading Oracle: Initiate a bearish short volatility strategy. Sell 5 $18 calls, buy 6 $19 calls expiring in 147 days. This captures edge from high put volumes and negative current sentiment. Expect a 33% potential return with a negative delta bias and limited downside risk. Monitor volatility spikes for adjustments.


February 23, 2025


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