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Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: US Steel may experience growth as social sentiment shows optimism. Historical returns support potential bounce-back from recent litigation-induced dips.



Bearish Case: Blocked merger with Nippon Steel raises operating risks. High implied volatility suggests market skepticism and potential stock decline.



Potential Outcomes:

1. 40% chance of moderate gain if positive sentiment prevails.

2. 35% chance of decline from blocked merger impacts.

3. 25% chance of volatility-driven swings.



Trading Oracle: Initiate a bearish long volatility strategy using debit spreads. Buy $33 puts, sell $27 puts expiring in 60 days. Take advantage of high volatility and litigation uncertainty. Target implied volatility edges for high profit potential.


January 10, 2025


United States Steel Forecast

X        United States Steel

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