X Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Recent tariff announcements may boost domestic production for infrastructure, supporting US Steel's growth. Bullish sentiment is evident with call options trading significantly higher.




Bearish Case: High implied volatility and geopolitical trade uncertainties could lead to market corrections. Historical skepticism and recent price action indicate potential downside risks.




Potential Outcomes:
  • 45%: Steady growth from infrastructure demand.
  • 35%: Downturn due to trade-related volatility.
  • 20%: Price stability amidst external pressures.




Trading Oracle: Bullish Short Volatility is strategic due to oversold puts and high implied volatility, maximizing potential gains amidst mean-reverting price trends.



April 04, 2025


United States Steel Forecast

X        United States Steel











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