X Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: United States Steel sees potential support from increased infrastructure investments and strategic partnerships, possibly driving demand and revenues. Call option volumes show investor optimism.




Bearish Case: Market skepticism and high implied volatility suggest potential declines, alongside insider selling and industry challenges. The flat term structure indicates potential stability risks.




Potential Outcomes:
  • 35% chance of moderate growth with positive infrastructure demand.
  • 40% risk of decline from market volatility and sector pressures.
  • 25% chance of price stability amid external pressures.




Trading Oracle: Given the high implied volatility and potential risks, a Bearish Long Volatility strategy leverages potential declines. Buy $34 puts, sell $33 puts, aiming for high returns amid volatility, capturing mispriced volatility edges.



March 08, 2025


United States Steel Forecast

X        United States Steel











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