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PSX Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: Elliott's aggressive proxy battle might trigger operational improvements, potentially enhancing PSX's performance and shareholder value.



Bearish Case: Regulatory pressures and volatility in refining margins could pose significant risks, leading to underperformance despite strategic efforts.



Potential Outcomes:
  • Operational improvements succeed, leading to stock growth (45%).
  • Market volatility impacts refining margins, causing flat performance (35%).
  • Sustained regulatory pressures hinder growth (20%).


April 30, 2025


Phillips 66 Forecast

PSX        Phillips 66

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with PSX


DVN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DVN  Devon Energy (0.92)


OXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OXY  Occidental Petroleum (0.88)


MUR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MUR  Murphy Oil (0.88)


WU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WU  Western Union (0.88)


GES Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GES  Guess (0.87)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to PSX


H Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   H  Hyatt Hotels (-0.01)


HSIC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HSIC  Henry Schein (0.02)


FLYW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FLYW  Flywire (0.03)


BHC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BHC  Bausch Health Companies (-0.04)


MNSO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MNSO  MINISO Group Holding Ltd (-0.04)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against PSX


GGAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GGAL  Grupo Financiero Galicia (-0.81)


CHWY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CHWY  Chewy (-0.81)


RKLB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RKLB  Rocket Lab USA (-0.84)


EOSE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EOSE  Eos Energy Enterprises (-0.85)


CLBT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CLBT  Cellebrite DI (-0.85)







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