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PSX Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: PSX's strategic renewable focus and stable dividends suggest long-term growth. Increased implied volatility shows potential for substantial upside driven by strategic executions.

Bearish Case: Rising regulatory pressures and declining refining margins could undermine PSX profits. Elevated long-term volatility suggests potential for downside or stagnation due to operational hurdles.

Potential Outcomes: Strategic successes lead to growth: 40% chance
Market volatility impacts margins: 35% chance
Regulatory and operational setbacks: 25% chance

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March 29, 2025

Phillips 66 Forecast

PSX Phillips 66

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with PSX

CHX ChampionX (0.92)

DVN Devon Energy (0.92)

OXY Occidental Petroleum (0.88)

GES Guess (0.87)

CRON Cronos (0.86)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to PSX

VTRS Viatris (-0.01)

QGEN Qiagen (0.02)

EXAS Exact Sciences (-0.05)

HL Hecla Mining (-0.05)

DAN Dana (0.08)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against PSX

CHWY Chewy (-0.81)

GGAL Grupo Financiero Galicia (-0.81)

SUPV Grupo Supervielle S.A. (-0.84)

RKLB Rocket Lab USA (-0.84)

CLBT Cellebrite DI (-0.85)

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