PSX Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: PSX's strategic renewable focus and stable dividends suggest long-term growth. Increased implied volatility shows potential for substantial upside driven by strategic executions.




Bearish Case: Rising regulatory pressures and declining refining margins could undermine PSX profits. Elevated long-term volatility suggests potential for downside or stagnation due to operational hurdles.




Potential Outcomes:
  • Strategic successes lead to growth: 40% chance
  • Market volatility impacts margins: 35% chance
  • Regulatory and operational setbacks: 25% chance




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March 29, 2025


Phillips 66 Forecast

PSX        Phillips 66











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with PSX



CHX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CHX  ChampionX (0.92)


DVN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DVN  Devon Energy (0.92)


OXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OXY  Occidental Petroleum (0.88)


GES Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GES  Guess (0.87)


CRON Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRON  Cronos (0.86)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to PSX



VTRS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VTRS  Viatris (-0.01)


QGEN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   QGEN  Qiagen (0.02)


EXAS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EXAS  Exact Sciences (-0.05)


HL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HL  Hecla Mining (-0.05)


DAN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DAN  Dana (0.08)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against PSX



CHWY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CHWY  Chewy (-0.81)


GGAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GGAL  Grupo Financiero Galicia (-0.81)


SUPV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SUPV  Grupo Supervielle S.A. (-0.84)


RKLB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RKLB  Rocket Lab USA (-0.84)


CLBT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CLBT  Cellebrite DI (-0.85)









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