PSX Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Strategic acquisitions and increased renewable focus boost Phillips 66's long-term growth amid stable oil prices and institutional support.




Bearish Case: Regulatory pressures and declining refining margins pose risks, with skepticism about PSX's transition strategy affecting short-term performance.




Potential Outcomes: 25% chance of significant growth with successful initiatives; 40% chance of moderate upside from stable earnings; 35% chance of volatility-related downside.




Trading Oracle: Engage in bullish credit spreads; sell PSX 130 puts and buy 125 puts, targeting ~15-30 days until expiration. This leverages expected moderate bullish trend with a favorable reward:risk and 75% probability of profit.



February 13, 2025


Phillips 66 Forecast

PSX        Phillips 66











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