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Price Forecast:


Bearish   <->   Bullish

Bullish Case: With anticipated rising oil prices and PSX's strong institutional backing, combined with recent bullish trends in options volume, growth in refining margins could lead to upward price momentum, potentially exceeding $150 in the near term.

Bearish Case: Given underlying market volatility, declining refining margins, and potential impacts of geopolitical uncertainties, PSX might see downward pressure, risking a drop below $130 if corrections occur or if negative news impacts market sentiment.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Increasing oil prices drive stock growth (40% likelihood).

2. Refining margins shrink significantly impacting earnings (30%).

3. Positive strategic initiatives lead to robust performance (20%).

4. Geopolitical tensions escalate, resulting in stock price decline (10%).

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August 25, 2024


Phillips 66 Forecast

PSX      Phillips 66

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with PSX


TGT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TGT  Target (0.93)


OSK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OSK  Oshkosh (0.92)


PCAR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PCAR  Paccar (0.92)


AME Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AME  Ametek (0.91)


CG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CG  Carlyle (0.91)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to PSX


LAD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LAD  Lithia Motors (0.0)


ARKG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ARKG  ARK Investment Management LLC - ARK Genomic Revolution (-0.0)


EBS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EBS  Emergent Biosolutions (0.0)


CTRA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CTRA  Coterra Energy (-0.0)


REM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   REM  iShares Mortgage Real Est (0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against PSX


CHTR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CHTR  Charter Communications (-0.84)


FFIE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FFIE  Faraday Future Intelligent Electric (-0.84)


VNET Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VNET  VNET (-0.85)


AMC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMC  AMC Entertainment (-0.88)


HUM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HUM  Humana (-0.88)



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