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Bullish Case: AA’s acquisition of Alumina signals strategic growth, while its aerospace market segment and green initiatives suggest a positive trajectory amidst a favorable risk imbalance.


Bearish Case: Legal challenges and potential pension plan mismanagement loom over Alcoa, adding risks of financial penalties and trust erosion amid flat recent price action.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Successful Alumina integration, revenue boost (45%).

2. Legal issues cause financial harm (35%).

3. Aerospace sector growth aids performance (40%).


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April 02, 2024


Alcoa Forecast

AA        Alcoa
Price Forecast: BULLISH    Price Action: RANDOM (?)











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