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UNG Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: UNG's call option volume surpasses put options, indicating bullish sentiment with potential support from geopolitical tensions enhancing demand.

Bearish Case: High implied volatility and backwardation reflect market instability, suggesting a risk of further declines if economic challenges persist.

Potential Outcomes: 40% chance of 15% upside due to geopolitical tensions and demand spikes.
35% chance of price stability if current trends persist.
25% chance of a 10% decline due to economic slowdowns.

June 11, 2025

United States Commodity Funds Forecast

UNG United States Commodity Funds

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with UNG

BB BlackBerry (0.7)

CNP Centerpoint Energy (0.66)

CPER United States Commodity Funds LLC - United States Copper Index (0.63)

TPR Tapestry (0.62)

BXSL Blackstone Secured Lending Fund. (0.61)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to UNG

VIXY ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.0)

ABNB Airbnb (-0.0)

ANET Arista Networks (-0.0)

SLS SELLAS Life Sciences (-0.01)

AYI Acuity Brands (-0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against UNG

EIX Edison International (-0.74)

LMT Lockheed Martin (-0.74)

SIG Signet Jewelers (-0.75)

FAST Fastenal (-0.8)

KOLD ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Natural Gas (-0.92)

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