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STZ Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: Strong beer sales, especially from Modelo and Corona, drive growth despite market challenges. Pricing power and strategic initiatives bolster optimism.



Bearish Case: Persistent inflation and weak wine/spirits performance continue pressuring margins, while backwardation signals potential near-term downside.



Potential Outcomes:

1) Beer sales boost stock (50%).

2) Inflation impacts margins (30%).

3) Wine/spirits weakness persists (15%).

4) Unexpected events create volatility (5%).


April 12, 2025


Constellation Brands Forecast

STZ        Constellation Brands

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