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MTCH Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: MTCH's strong portfolio, especially Tinder, could see increased user engagement and monetization, as recent trends in AI-driven features attract users.

Bearish Case: Ongoing competition and regulatory scrutiny may lead to diminished market share and revenue, shown by recent declines in share price and user growth stagnation.

Potential Outcomes: 30% chance of MTCH continuing to decline as competition intensifies.
40% chance of price stability as market dynamics settle.
30% chance of a rebound due to innovations and engagement.

May 11, 2025

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with MTCH

XLV Health Care Select Sector SPDR (0.74)

MHO MI Homes (0.74)

PLD Prologis (0.73)

FCEL Fuelcell Energy (0.72)

PHM PulteGroup (0.72)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to MTCH

EWC BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares MSCI Canada (-0.0)

QYLD Global X NASDAQ 100 Covered Call (0.0)

WPC W. P. Carey (0.0)

MTZ Mastec (0.0)

FUN Cedar Fair (-0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against MTCH

USAU U.S. Gold (-0.5)

GT Goodyear Tire & Rubber (-0.57)

TBT PowerShares UltraShort Lehman 20+ Yea (-0.58)

ETR Entergy (-0.62)

DPZ Dominos Pizza (-0.65)

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