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MTCH Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: MTCH's strong portfolio, especially Tinder, could see increased user engagement and monetization, as recent trends in AI-driven features attract users.

Bearish Case: Ongoing competition and regulatory scrutiny may lead to diminished market share and revenue, shown by recent declines in share price and user growth stagnation.

Potential Outcomes: 30% chance of MTCH continuing to decline as competition intensifies.
40% chance of price stability as market dynamics settle.
30% chance of a rebound due to innovations and engagement.

May 11, 2025

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with MTCH

AVTR Avantor (0.79)

LEN Lennar (0.78)

CURE Direxion Daily Healthcare Bull 3X Shares (0.74)

XLV Health Care Select Sector SPDR (0.74)

GRBK Green Brick (0.74)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to MTCH

MTZ Mastec (0.0)

IWP BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares Russell Mid-Cap Growth (-0.01)

FNF Fidelity National Financial (-0.01)

CVX Chevron (0.01)

ALV Autoliv (-0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against MTCH

CORT Corcept Therapeutics (-0.37)

YUM Yum Brands (-0.41)

WBA Walgreens Boots Alliance (-0.49)

CAE Cae (-0.53)

GT Goodyear Tire & Rubber (-0.57)

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