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RTX Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: RTX benefits from strong defense contracts and technological advancements. High call option volume reflects investor optimism, with a robust backlog driving future growth.

Bearish Case: Geopolitical tensions and supply chain disruptions pose significant risks. Backwardation in the volatility term structure indicates short-term uncertainty, potentially impacting investor sentiment.

Potential Outcomes: 60% chance: Continued contract wins boost growth.
20% chance: Legal or supply disruptions hinder progress.
20% chance: Geopolitical tensions affect market negatively.

June 20, 2025

Raytheon Forecast

RTX Raytheon

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with RTX

ITA BTC iShares U.S. Aerospac (0.86)

PM Philip Morris International (0.85)

PAYX Paychex (0.84)

BABA Alibaba (0.83)

CBOE Cboe Global Markets (0.82)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to RTX

HES Hess (0.0)

LULU Lululemon Athletica inc. (-0.01)

VMC Vulcan Materials (-0.01)

CPRT Copart (0.01)

PEG Public Service Enterprise (0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against RTX

CODI Compass Diversified (-0.75)

FDX Fedex (-0.76)

NUVB Nuvation Bio (-0.76)

FUN Cedar Fair (-0.77)

M Macy's (-0.78)

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