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RTX Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: RTX's strong contract pipeline and recovering commercial aerospace segment signal robust growth potential, supported by decreasing long-term implied volatility.

Bearish Case: Supply chain disruptions and geopolitical tensions pose risks, with high short-term volatility suggesting potential setbacks.

Potential Outcomes: Contract Wins (65%): Enhance growth as defense spending rises.
Supply Chain Issues (20%): Cause disruptions and increased costs.
Geopolitical Tensions (15%): Impact contract execution adversely.

April 11, 2025

Raytheon Forecast

RTX Raytheon

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with RTX

AGI Alamos Gold (0.88)

FNF Fidelity National Financial (0.85)

EXC Exelon (0.84)

BK Bank Of New York Mellon (0.82)

ALL Allstate (0.78)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to RTX

ROIV Roivant Sciences (0.0)

SMG Scotts Miracle-Gro (0.01)

PHG Koninklijke Philips (0.04)

DKS Dicks Sporting Goods (0.05)

MBI MBIA (-0.05)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against RTX

ODP ODP (-0.77)

VRNT Verint Systems (-0.78)

ASH Ashland (-0.78)

MUR Murphy Oil (-0.8)

M Macy's (-0.84)

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