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COMP Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: The implied volatility surface suggests market anticipation of price movement, possibly due to strategic initiatives and favorable macro trends.

Bearish Case: Backwardation and high volatility hint at potential instability, with market skepticism and competitive pressures possibly leading to declines.

Potential Outcomes: Strategic success and market growth: 50% probability.
Regulation and competition challenges: 30% probability.
Stagnation with external uncertainties: 20% probability.

May 08, 2025

Compass Forecast

COMP Compass

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with COMP

FOXA Fox Corporation - (0.92)

BK Bank Of New York Mellon (0.92)

ADP Automatic Data Processing (0.91)

LRN Stride (0.9)

VNET VNET (0.89)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to COMP

STLD Steel Dynamics (0.0)

MNSO MINISO Group Holding Ltd (0.0)

SG Sweetgreen (-0.01)

HCA HCA Healthcare (0.02)

RMBS Rambus (0.03)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against COMP

OXY Occidental Petroleum (-0.88)

COTY Coty (-0.89)

TDW Tidewater Inc. - New (-0.89)

XRX Xerox (-0.9)

MUR Murphy Oil (-0.9)

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