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CRWD Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: CrowdStrike's strategic acquisitions, strong growth in key sectors, and robust market positioning, alongside AI-driven advances, provide upside potential. The term structure suggests moderate implied volatility, supporting steady growth conditions.

Bearish Case: Concerns about valuation, heightened competition, and ongoing litigation risks from Delta’s lawsuit contribute to potential downside. Implied volatility spikes indicate investor caution, reinforcing potential headwinds.

Potential Outcomes: 50% chance: Sustained growth driven by AI and strategic initiatives.
30% chance: Valuation adjustments due to overvaluation and competition.
20% chance: Legal and market disruptions from litigation risks.

May 15, 2025

Crowdstrike Forecast

CRWD Crowdstrike

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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ARCC Ares (0.68)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to CRWD

RVLV Revolve (0.01)

PNC PNC Financial Services (-0.01)

JBLU Jetblue Airways (-0.02)

APPN Appian (-0.02)

EWW iShares MSCI Mexico (0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against CRWD

FCEL Fuelcell Energy (-0.72)

EIX Edison International (-0.74)

AVTR Avantor (-0.77)

LEN Lennar (-0.79)

SAFE Safehold (-0.82)

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