GEO Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: GEO's policy-driven demand for detention centers under Trump's administration and strong option volumes suggest upward momentum.




Bearish Case: High implied volatility and regulatory challenges indicate potential downside risks with legal issues affecting contracts.




Potential Outcomes:

1. Policy support boosts growth (70%).

2. Regulatory backlash causes drop (20%).

3. Flat trading due to volatility (10%).



June 05, 2025


Geo Group Forecast

GEO        Geo Group











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with GEO



IONQ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IONQ  IonQ (0.85)


JPM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   JPM  JPMorgan Chase (0.83)


HOOD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HOOD  Robinhood Markets (0.82)


BBAR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BBAR  BBVA Argentina (0.81)


ET Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ET  Energy Transfer LP (0.8)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to GEO



BBWI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BBWI  Bath & Body Works (-0.0)


ALLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ALLE  Allegion (0.01)


XPOF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XPOF  Xponential Fitness (-0.02)


UBER Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UBER  Uber (-0.02)


DKS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DKS  Dicks Sporting Goods (-0.03)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against GEO



MYGN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MYGN  Myriad Genetics (-0.81)


REGN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   REGN  Regeneron Pharmaceuticals (-0.81)


LTPZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LTPZ  PIMCO 15+ Year U.S. TIPS Index Exchange-Traded (-0.81)


KHC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KHC  Kraft Heinz (-0.84)


BCE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BCE  BCE (-0.87)









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