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MCO Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Moody's strong AI integration and resilient demand for credit ratings position it for growth, supported by robust fundamentals and historical uptrends in returns.

Bearish Case: Recent US credit downgrade and rising Treasury yields introduce risk, with potential investor skepticism and market volatility threatening Moody's stock stability.

Potential Outcomes: 65%: AI-driven growth and stable demand sustain positive momentum.
25%: US economic uncertainties pressure ratings and stock performance.
10%: Regulatory changes impact operational capacity negatively.

May 20, 2025

Moody's Forecast

MCO Moody's

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with MCO

CMI Cummins (0.82)

KEYS Keysight (0.81)

VTI Vanguard Total Stock Market (0.81)

PNC PNC Financial Services (0.78)

KKR KKR (0.78)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to MCO

QS QuantumScape (0.0)

CWEN Clearway Energy (0.0)

HCA HCA Healthcare (0.01)

TAL TAL Education (-0.01)

NGG National Grid (-0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against MCO

PDD Pinduoduo (-0.46)

GT Goodyear Tire & Rubber (-0.48)

WBA Walgreens Boots Alliance (-0.56)

EWW iShares MSCI Mexico (-0.58)

UDN Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bearish (-0.63)

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