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ACM Forecast + Trading Strategies



Price Forecast:


Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: ACM's upcoming contract awards and a rebound in infrastructure spending may boost stock value. With implied volatility suggesting upcoming price movements, a bullish scenario hinges on project successes driving price up.



Bearish Case: Rising market uncertainty and recent bearish trends in options imply potential price corrections. If contract delays occur or investor confidence wanes, downward pressure on ACM could lead to notable losses.



Potential Outcomes:
  • 60%: Successful project execution drives stock up significantly within 3 months.
  • 20%: Market volatility causes short-term dips despite a longer-term positive outlook.
  • 20%: A downturn triggers major sell-offs amid reduced investor confidence.



Trading Oracle: Given the low current implied volatility yet the potential for project-driven gains, consider a bull call spread on ACM. Buy the $115 call and sell the $120 call, aiming to capture upside while hedging volatility risks with protective puts. Execute on dips for optimal entry.


November 27, 2024











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with ACM


FDP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FDP  Fresh Del Monte Produce (0.85)


RVLV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RVLV  Revolve (0.82)


PH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PH  Parker-Hannifin (0.8)


SHW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SHW  Sherwin-Williams (0.79)


CMI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CMI  Cummins (0.78)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ACM


GTLB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GTLB  Gitlab (0.0)


TMF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TMF  Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (-0.0)


TTWO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TTWO  Take-Two Interactive Software (-0.01)


BUD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BUD  Anheuser-Busch (-0.01)


WPC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WPC  W. P. Carey (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ACM


OCSL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OCSL  Oaktree Specialty Lending (-0.59)


VAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VAL  Valaris (-0.61)


FOXF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FOXF  Fox Factory (-0.62)


RWM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RWM  ProShares Trust - ProShares Short Russell2000 (-0.65)


BIIB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BIIB  Biogen (-0.75)







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