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ACRS Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Pipeline advancements, coupled with potential positive trial readouts, could drive ACRS recovery. Historically high returns during bullish phases support this view.

Bearish Case: High implied volatility and past negative performance highlight market skepticism. Continued cash burn and competitive pressures may erode confidence further.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Positive clinical data (70%): boosts price.

2. Negative trial outcomes (30%): triggers sell-off.

3. Licensing deals (50%): adds revenue.

April 15, 2025

Aclaris Therapeutics Forecast

ACRS Aclaris Therapeutics

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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RELY Remitly (0.79)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ACRS

SCO ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Crude Oil (0.01)

PRAA PRA (-0.01)

UUUU Energy Fuels (0.02)

HES Hess (-0.02)

UNH Unitedhealth (0.03)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ACRS

DVN Devon Energy (-0.67)

BCE BCE (-0.73)

DG Dollar General (-0.73)

AZN Astrazeneca (-0.75)

UDN Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bearish (-0.76)

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