CARR Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: Contrary to market sentiment, Helium's implied volatility shows a better risk/reward profile. Carrier's strong earnings potential from HVAC growth and Viessmann integration support an upward trajectory.


Bearish Case: Persisting geopolitical tensions and sector volatility could undermine Carrier’s stability. Helium's forecasted higher uncertainty indicates potential downside risk beyond market estimations.


Potential Outcomes:

1) Positive earnings surprise from Viessmann integration (60%),

2) Geopolitical tensions disrupt operations (25%),

3) Competitive pressures remain significant (15%).


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June 19, 2024











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