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ADNT Forecast + Trading Strategies



Price Forecast:


Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: ADNT's investment in AI and the growing EV sector may lead to operational efficiency and increased revenue, supported by upward trends in implied volatility. Investors show increased call volume, indicating bullish sentiment.



Bearish Case: Persisting earnings misses combined with high costs could restrict profitability, amplified by insider selling that raises fears of financial instability despite possibly favorable market conditions.



Potential Outcomes:

1) Increased EV demand boosts revenue (45%);

2) Continuing earnings misses hinder price (30%);

3) AI efficiency gains drive growth (25%).



Trading Oracle: Implement a long volatility strategy by buying 1 $20.00 call and selling 1 $22.50 call for January 2025. With market odds at 40% and expected returns of 99%, this offers a high reward/risk with limited downside in a flat market. Monitor earnings closely.


October 27, 2024


Adient Forecast

ADNT        Adient

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with ADNT


COTY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   COTY  Coty (0.95)


WBA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WBA  Walgreens Boots Alliance (0.95)


XRAY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XRAY  DENTSPLY Sirona (0.95)


DLTR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DLTR  Dollar Tree (0.95)


NRDY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NRDY  Nerdy (0.95)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ADNT


BNTX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BNTX  BioNTech SE (0.0)


MPC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MPC  Marathon Petroleum (0.0)


FLNC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FLNC  Fluence Energy (0.01)


INTU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   INTU  Intuit (-0.01)


DECK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DECK  Deckers Outdoor (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ADNT


RCAT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RCAT  Red Cat (-0.91)


AEM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AEM  Agnico Eagle Mines (-0.91)


MO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MO  Altria (-0.91)


GDDY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GDDY  Godaddy (-0.92)


PEG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PEG  Public Service Enterprise (-0.93)







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