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ADSK Forecast + Trading Strategies



Price Forecast:


Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: ADSK's growth in VR and AI, coupled with institutional interest, could drive stock prices higher, supported by a recent trend of rising implied volatility suggesting increased investor confidence.



Bearish Case: Continued market cyclicality and potential confusion from Autodesk's payment model shift pose significant risks, which may result in declining stock performance amid heightened uncertainty.



Potential Outcomes:

1. Increased institutional investment (60%).

2. Cyclical downturn impacts sales (40%).

3. Successful tech integration boosts revenue (55%).

4. Ongoing volatility impacts stock stability (50%).



Trading Oracle: Consider a bullish put credit spread selling $312.50 puts and buying $310 puts, targeting ~7 days to expiration. With high implied volatility and market odds of profit over 70%, this strategy fits well for capitalizing on premium decay and ADSK's recovery potential. Aim for parse risk with reward optimizing for short positions.


November 12, 2024


Autodesk Forecast

ADSK        Autodesk

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