Bullish Case: NIO's current low price offers entry point with potential recovery; mean-reverting nature may lead to an upward trend, capturing the growing EV market appetite.


Bearish Case: NIO's significant decline, high volatility, and market placement at the 0th percentile signal ongoing investor skepticism and potential continued underperformance.


Potential Outcomes:

1) EV demand growth leads to stock surge (25%).

2) Continued stagnation amidst market disfavor (50%).

3) External factors cause further decline (25%).


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April 06, 2024


NIO Forecast

NIO        NIO
Price Forecast: NEUTRAL    Price Action: MEAN REVERTING (?)











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