Bullish Case: Revenue and membership growth may signal underlying business strength, offering a possible turnaround if market sentiment shifts positively towards healthcare stocks.


Bearish Case: With recent heavy losses, negative adjusted EBITDA, legal challenges, and revised downward guidance, further share price deterioration is likely.


Potential Outcomes: Three scenarios: [PR News Wire] Stock recovery on positive reevaluation, 25% chance; [Business Insider] Continued decline amidst lawsuits and financial strain, 50% chance; [PR News Wire] Prolonged flat trading on mixed signals, 25% chance.


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March 28, 2024


Agilon Health Forecast

AGL        Agilon Health
Price Forecast: BEARISH    Price Action: RANDOM (?)






Correlated Stock Forecasts

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VXX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [VXX]  iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures (0.91)


TECS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [TECS]  Direxion Daily Technology Bear 3X Shares (0.91)


AMC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [AMC]  AMC Entertainment (0.9)


UVXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [UVXY]  ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures (0.9)


SPWR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [SPWR]  Sunpower (0.89)



Uncorrelated Stock Forecasts

Assets with little price relationship to AGL



EBAY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [EBAY]  EBay (0.0)


ATAI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [ATAI]  ATAI Life Sciences (-0.0)


PLNT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [PLNT]  Planet Fitness (0.0)


AI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [AI]  C3.ai (-0.01)


TWO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [TWO]  Two Harbors Investment (0.01)



Anticorrelated Stock Forecasts

Assets that tend to move strongly against AGL



XLK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [XLK]  Technology Select Sector SPDR (-0.91)


SPOT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [SPOT]  Spotify Technology (-0.91)


RACE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [RACE]  Ferrari (-0.92)


MSFT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [MSFT]  Microsoft (-0.92)


AMZN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [AMZN]  Amazon (-0.92)





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