AI AGL Forecast


Bullish Case: AGL could rebound due to potential regulatory clarity and increased Medicare membership growth, suggesting improved fundamentals and positive market sentiment around healthcare, which historically favors recovery.


Bearish Case: Continued legal challenges and financial instability, coupled with high implied volatility, indicate a prevailing bearish sentiment. Analyst downgrades may amplify downward pressure, leading to further declines.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Recovery-driven growth (30%);

2. Further declines due to unresolved legal issues (50%);

3. Stability as market digests ongoing changes (20%). Historical data points to a complex landscape for AGL.


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August 13, 2024


Agilon Health Forecast

AGL      Agilon Health











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with AGL



HUM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HUM  Humana (0.9)


HLF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HLF  Herbalife Nutrition (0.88)


AEHR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AEHR  Aehr Test Systems (0.88)


RIVN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RIVN  Rivian Automotive (0.86)


IRBT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IRBT  Irobot (0.86)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to AGL



UCO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UCO  ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Crude Oil (0.0)


TRUP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TRUP  Trupanion (0.01)


REM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   REM  iShares Mortgage Real Est (0.01)


SONY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SONY  Sony Group Corporation (0.01)


HES Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HES  Hess (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against AGL



OMC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OMC  Omnicom Group (-0.87)


AQST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AQST  Aquestive Therapeutics (-0.88)


CNM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CNM  Core & Main (-0.88)


SHAK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SHAK  Shake Shack (-0.88)


PH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PH  Parker-Hannifin (-0.88)





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