AHT Forecast


Bullish Case: AHT’s recent asset sales and deleveraging strategy could stabilize financials, reducing debt and improving cash flow, which might attract institutional investors.


Bearish Case: High implied volatility and poor price returns over holding periods suggest significant downside risk, compounded by weak financials and ongoing operational issues.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Effective asset sales and restructuring (30%)

2. Continued financial struggles (50%)

3. Slight improvements from cost-cutting (20%).


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July 18, 2024


Ashford Hospitality Forecast

AHT      Ashford Hospitality











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with AHT



MED Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MED  Medifast (0.96)


MEI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MEI  Methode Electronics (0.95)


PTLO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PTLO  Portillos (0.95)


LCID Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LCID  Lucid (0.95)


CHPT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CHPT  ChargePoint (0.94)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to AHT



VIPS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VIPS  Vipshop (-0.0)


HOLX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HOLX  Hologic (0.0)


XRX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XRX  Xerox (0.0)


NEE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NEE  NextEra Energy (-0.01)


HPQ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HPQ  HP (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against AHT



VST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VST  Vistra (-0.95)


PGR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PGR  Progressive (-0.95)


MCK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MCK  Mckesson (-0.96)


SFM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SFM  Sprouts Farmers Market (-0.96)


STNG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STNG  Scorpio Tankers (-0.96)





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