ALLY Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: ALLY's focus on digital banking and auto finance, combined with strong call option volumes and a favorable price-to-book ratio, indicate growth potential.




Bearish Case: Volatility in the auto loan market and potential economic downturns, combined with high implied volatility, pose risks to ALLY's stability and profitability.




Potential Outcomes:
  • Earnings beat expectations: 30% chance
  • Interest rate pressures margins: 40% chance
  • Continued flat trend: 30% chance




Trading Oracle: Bearish Short Volatility selected due to high implied volatility and a flat price trend. Selling ATM call options and buying OTM call options captures potential volatility crush, aligning with high odds of profit.



April 13, 2025


Ally Financial Forecast

ALLY        Ally Financial











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with ALLY



NFE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NFE  New Fortress Energy (0.75)


BEN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BEN  Franklin Resources (0.7)


ESTC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ESTC  Elastic (0.69)


OVV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OVV  Ovintiv (0.68)


MUR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MUR  Murphy Oil (0.68)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ALLY



FITB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FITB  Fifth Third Bancorp (-0.0)


GROY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GROY  Gold Royalty (0.0)


FLR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FLR  Fluor (-0.0)


SNCY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SNCY  Sun Country Airlines (-0.0)


ITB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ITB  BTC iShares U.S. Home Construction (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ALLY



VNET Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VNET  VNET (-0.59)


CB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CB  Chubb (-0.62)


OUNZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OUNZ  VanEck Merk Gold (-0.64)


SMMT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SMMT  Summit Therapeutics (-0.65)


EXC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EXC  Exelon (-0.66)









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