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ALT Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: The high implied volatility surface, coupled with recent social media optimism and a surge in call volumes, suggests potential significant positive catalysts like trial successes or strategic partnerships, indicating a positive price outlook.



Bearish Case: Persistently high volatility and historical downtrends indicate an underlying market skepticism. Any negative clinical outcomes or regulatory challenges could severely impact ALT's stock price, reflecting inherent downside risks.



Potential Outcomes:
  • Positive trial results: 40% chance, 50% upside potential.
  • Negative outcomes: 30% chance, 30% downside risk.
  • Stable conditions: 30% chance, minimal movement.


May 07, 2025


Altimmune Forecast

ALT        Altimmune

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with ALT


CCCS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CCCS  CCC Intelligent (0.83)


MIDU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MIDU  Direxion Daily Mid Cap Bull 3x Shares (0.77)


VAC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VAC  Marriott Vacations Worldwide (0.77)


CODI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CODI  Compass Diversified (0.76)


RPD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RPD  Rapid7 (0.75)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ALT


FE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FE  Firstenergy (0.0)


SANM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SANM  Sanmina (-0.01)


BYRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BYRN  Byrna (0.01)


RKLB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RKLB  Rocket Lab USA (0.01)


TMDX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TMDX  Transmedics (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ALT


VIXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VIXY  ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.56)


ED Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ED  Consolidated Edison (-0.57)


FEZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FEZ  SPDR EURO Stoxx 50 (-0.61)


GFI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GFI  Gold Fields (-0.62)


KO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KO  Coca-Cola (-0.64)







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