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ALT Forecast + Trading Strategies



Price Forecast:


Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: Positive trial results expected on November 15, 2024, could push ALT significantly higher, with substantial demand reflected in high call volumes and rising implied volatility.



Bearish Case: If the upcoming trial results disappoint, sentiment could plummet, with a potential 40% downside indicated by historical narratives and current high negative sentiment in the market.



Potential Outcomes:

1) Positive trial results lead to a 40% increase (30% chance).

2) Neutral trial results with minor price fluctuations (30% chance).

3) Negative results result in a 30% decrease (40% chance).



Trading Oracle: Consider executing a bullish call debit spread using $7.50 and $8.00 calls expiring November 15, 2024. The current high volatility suggests significant price moves ahead, providing a favorable risk-reward profile. Leverage the upcoming trial date for optimal alpha potential while limiting downside exposure. Expect upwards pressure leading to potentially high returns.


November 08, 2024


Altimmune Forecast

ALT        Altimmune

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