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ALT Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: The high implied volatility surface, coupled with recent social media optimism and a surge in call volumes, suggests potential significant positive catalysts like trial successes or strategic partnerships, indicating a positive price outlook.



Bearish Case: Persistently high volatility and historical downtrends indicate an underlying market skepticism. Any negative clinical outcomes or regulatory challenges could severely impact ALT's stock price, reflecting inherent downside risks.



Potential Outcomes:
  • Positive trial results: 40% chance, 50% upside potential.
  • Negative outcomes: 30% chance, 30% downside risk.
  • Stable conditions: 30% chance, minimal movement.


May 07, 2025


Altimmune Forecast

ALT        Altimmune

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with ALT


H Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   H  Hyatt Hotels (0.69)


DDOG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DDOG  Datadog (0.68)


LYFT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LYFT  Lyft (0.68)


UUUU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UUUU  Energy Fuels (0.65)


RPD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RPD  Rapid7 (0.64)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ALT


AROC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AROC  Archrock (0.0)


LPLA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LPLA  LPL Financial (-0.0)


RKLB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RKLB  Rocket Lab USA (0.01)


DPZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DPZ  Dominos Pizza (0.01)


WWD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WWD  Woodward (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ALT


FEZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FEZ  SPDR EURO Stoxx 50 (-0.44)


VIXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VIXY  ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.45)


VXX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VXX  iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.45)


SNY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SNY  Sanofi (-0.46)


KO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KO  Coca-Cola (-0.55)







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