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AMED Forecast + Trading Strategies



Price Forecast:


Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: If the acquisition by UnitedHealth proceeds successfully, AMED could experience a notable price surge due to enhanced stability and market confidence, potentially driving shares above $100.



Bearish Case: Legal challenges against the UnitedHealth acquisition could lead to increased volatility and uncertainty, resulting in a potential decline in AMED stock to around $80.



Potential Outcomes:

1. Acquisition successful (70%): Price surges to $115;

2. Acquisition blocked (20%): Price stagnates around $90;

3. Market remains uncertain (10%): Price drops to around $80.



Trading Oracle: Consider a bullish call debit spread by buying the 12/20/2024 $90 call and selling the $100 call. This strategy anticipates a price rise above $90 as potential acquisition clarity emerges. Aim for a high reward-to-risk ratio given current low volatility. Monitor the implied volatility and take advantage of favorable pricing before significant events unfold.


November 15, 2024


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AMED        Amedisys

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