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AMED Forecast


Bullish Case: A favorable resolution of the UnitedHealth acquisition could enhance AMED’s stability and valuation, especially with market uncertainty potentially decreasing post-acquisition, projected future price target at $100.



Bearish Case: Regulatory hurdles and increasing market scrutiny over the acquisition could create significant downward pressure, likely pushing the stock towards $75 amid heightened volatility and negative investor sentiment.



Potential Outcomes:
  • 70%: Successful acquisition leads to a price surge to $100.
  • 20%: Continued market uncertainty causes stagnation at $85.
  • 10%: Acquisition fails, generating declines to $75.



Trading Oracle: Consider executing a bearish call credit spread, selling $90 calls and buying $100 calls, capitalizing on elevated implied volatility with potential for a 250% return due to high uncertainty. Expect volatility to decrease after key regulatory events.


December 14, 2024


Amedisys Forecast

AMED        Amedisys

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