AON Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: AON's historical mean-reverting trend and current neutral +0.42% Helium AI price forecast suggest underlying stability. Helium's implied volatility exceeds market predictions, implying potential undervaluation of future price movements.


Bearish Case: AON’s year-over-year 14.2% decline and periodic negative returns suggest vulnerability to macro factors or internal inefficiencies. Consistent market uncertainty forecast in term structure may deter price recovery.


Potential Outcomes:

1. AON returns to $300 level (20%), impacted by mean reversion.

2. Price drops owing to bear market adjustment (30%).

3. Moderate gains in a bullish short-term based on encouraging AI outcomes (50%).


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May 07, 2024


Aon plc. - Forecast

AON        Aon plc. -
Price Forecast: NEUTRAL    Price Action: MEAN REVERTING (?)











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