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DLTR Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Selling Family Dollar focuses on core growth, reducing operational drag. Forward-looking strategic maneuvers align with expanding customer reach through multi-price items, presenting potential upside.

Bearish Case: High trading volume of put options suggests bearish sentiment persists. The sale of Family Dollar at a massive loss highlights ongoing operational challenges and financial strain, risking continued price decline.

Potential Outcomes: Core business revitalization boosts growth (40%)
Further regulatory and operational challenges cause declines (35%)
Market stabilization sees neutral performance (25%)

April 10, 2025

Dollar Tree Forecast

DLTR Dollar Tree

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with DLTR

CLW Clearwater Paper (0.84)

PTEN Patterson-UTI Energy (0.82)

EC Ecopetrol SA (0.81)

M Macy's (0.77)

BBWI Bath & Body Works (0.77)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to DLTR

BB BlackBerry (-0.0)

ADI Analog Devices (-0.01)

APPN Appian (-0.01)

FLNC Fluence Energy (-0.02)

DKL Delek Logistics Partners LP - Unit (-0.03)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against DLTR

ZLAB Zai Lab (-0.78)

SCHD Schwab US Dividend Equity (-0.8)

SMMT Summit Therapeutics (-0.81)

FTAI Fortress Transportation and Infrastructure Investors (-0.82)

TPC Tutor Perini (-0.83)

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