BILI Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Bilibili has shown strong user growth and engagement, supported by its content expansion. An increase in call volume and positive Helium AI price forecast (+0.75%) suggest potential upside, particularly driven by younger demographics and digital content trends.




Bearish Case: Regulatory pressures in China and ongoing profitability issues overshadow Bilibili’s growth prospects. Historical mean reversion and elevated implied volatility indicate potential price downturns, while financial instability remains a key concern.




Potential Outcomes:
1. Market stabilization and gradual uptrend: 20%
2. Price decline due to regulatory pressures: 50%
3. Short-term volatility with minor gains: 30%




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March 26, 2025


Bilibili Forecast

BILI        Bilibili











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MFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MFC  Manulife Financial (0.75)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to BILI



UUUU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UUUU  Energy Fuels (-0.0)


APG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   APG  APi (-0.0)


LYFT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LYFT  Lyft (-0.01)


RMBS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RMBS  Rambus (-0.01)


ROST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ROST  Ross Stores (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against BILI



DVN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DVN  Devon Energy (-0.63)


GES Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GES  Guess (-0.66)


TDW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TDW  Tidewater Inc. - New (-0.66)


VSAT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VSAT  Viasat (-0.68)


PTEN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PTEN  Patterson-UTI Energy (-0.7)









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