APO Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: APO's strong past growth and bullish risk exceeding bearish risk indicate potential for upward movement. Increased investor confidence from consistent performance signals future gains.




Bearish Case: High put option volume and recent price decline suggest continued bearish sentiment, along with increasing regulatory fears creating potential for further downturns.




Potential Outcomes:

1. Continued expansion success (60%), boosting stock.

2. Negative impact from SPAC liquidations (30%).

3. Regulatory challenges arise (10%).




Trading Oracle: Execute a bullish credit put spread expiring in ~25 days by selling $145 puts and buying $135 puts. This exploits the high bullish risk, leveraging Helium's edge with a strategy return of 12%. Capture potential price stability with market odds of 74% profit.



February 25, 2025










Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with APO



ARKX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ARKX  ARK ETF Trust - ARK Space Exploration & Innovation (0.9)


VGT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VGT  Vanguard Information Technology (0.89)


SSO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SSO  ProShares Ultra S&P500 (0.89)


VOO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VOO  Vanguard S&P 500 (0.88)


TXRH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TXRH  Texas Roadhouse (0.88)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to APO



HCA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HCA  HCA Healthcare (-0.0)


OLPX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OLPX  Olaplex (0.01)


YELP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   YELP  Yelp (0.01)


ING Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ING  ING Groep (-0.01)


PBT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PBT  Permian Basin Royalty (-0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against APO



HSY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HSY  Hershey (-0.75)


XP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XP  XP (-0.77)


AMN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMN  AMN Healthcare Services (-0.79)


VSAT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VSAT  Viasat (-0.83)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.86)









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