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APT Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: High volatility suggests potential short-term upside; strategic moves in PPE could boost demand.

Bearish Case: Backwardation and high put volume indicate potential for declines; past flat performance offers little optimism.

Potential Outcomes: 40% chance of modest rally to $6 driven by speculative buying. 35% likelihood of consolidation around $5.50. 25% risk of a drop under $5 if volatility reverses sharply.

Trading Oracle: Consider a short-term bearish strategy with a put debit spread (buy APT 5.00 P, sell 4.50 P). This approach captures downside potential due to backwardation and elevated put trading. Focus on capitalizing from a bearish stance over the next 30 days, while maintaining a risk-defined setup.

January 15, 2025

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with APT

IQV IQVIA (0.56)

IOVA Iovance Biotherapeutics (0.53)

FANG Diamondback Energy (0.47)

KOLD ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Natural Gas (0.45)

NBR Nabors Industries (0.43)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to APT

TS Tenaris S.A. (-0.0)

BIIB Biogen (0.0)

MIR Mirion Technologies Inc. (0.0)

HTZ Hertz Global Holdings (-0.0)

TALK Talkspace (-0.0)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against APT

TGI Triumph (-0.37)

VSCO Victoria's Secret (-0.4)

FREY FREYR Battery (-0.41)

GME Gamestop (-0.48)

WRBY Warby Parker (-0.5)

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* Disclaimer: Nothing on this website constitutes investment advice, performance data or any recommendation that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. Helium Trades is not responsible in any way for the accuracy of any model predictions or price data. Any mention of a particular security and related prediction data is not a recommendation to buy or sell that security. Investments in securities involve the risk of loss. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Helium Trades is not responsible for any of your investment decisions, you should consult a financial expert before engaging in any transaction.