AR Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: Antero Resources (AR) benefits from bullish sentiment with higher implied volatility in calls. Historically, the stock shows strong likelihood for gains over holding periods of 1 to 2 years. Upcoming earnings reports suggest potential revenue growth.


Bearish Case: The flat term structure and higher short-term implied volatility suggest AR is at risk of near-term declines. Insider sales and a history of significant volatility present downside risks, particularly amidst broader market uncertainties.


Potential Outcomes: AR has a 60% chance to rise on positive earnings and sentiment, 30% chance to decline due to short-term volatility, and 10% to stay flat due to mixed signals.


Trading Oracle: Implement a bullish debit call spread expiring in ~23 days: Buy $34.5 strike call, sell $35.0 strike call. This strategy leverages higher implied volatility, maximizes potential reward, and balances risk with a high probability of profit. Focus on bullish momentum and upcoming earnings reports.


June 27, 2024


Antero Resources Forecast

AR      Antero Resources











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Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against AR



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