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ASPN Forecast + Trading Strategies



Price Forecast:




80% Confidence

Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: The potential for ASPN to capitalize on its $670.6 million DOE loan and increasing order volumes from major automakers signals growth. The high implied volatility from the options indicates strong market interest, suggesting an imminent bullish move after current flat trading.



Bearish Case: ASPN's recent price action and historical declines indicate a risk of further downturns, especially in light of its high implied volatility suggesting market apprehension. Economic uncertainties could exacerbate potential losses if unexpected negative news arises.



Potential Outcomes:
  • ASP recovers to $15 in early 2025: 50% chance
  • ASP stabilizes around $12.5: 30% chance
  • ASP drops to $10 amid market corrections: 20% chance



Trading Oracle: Consider a bullish strategy by buying ASPN $13 call options and selling $13.5 calls. This captures potential upside from an expected price rise, leveraging recent high implied volatility with favorable risk-reward. Target this play for early 2025, as short-term volatility premiums remain attractive.


December 18, 2024


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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with ASPN


TNDM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TNDM  Tandem Diabetes Care (0.9)


ONTO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ONTO  Onto Innovation (0.86)


BLBD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BLBD  Blue Bird (0.85)


ING Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ING  ING Groep (0.83)


OGN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OGN  Organon (0.83)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ASPN


INCY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   INCY  Incyte (-0.0)


NOVA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NOVA  Sunnova Energy International (0.0)


RDFN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RDFN  Redfin (-0.0)


MUR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MUR  Murphy Oil (0.0)


TRP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TRP  TC Energy (-0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ASPN


CBRL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CBRL  Cracker Barrel Old Country Store (-0.71)


WMG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WMG  Warner Music (-0.73)


RHI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RHI  Robert Half International (-0.76)


WHR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WHR  Whirlpool (-0.77)


GTLB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GTLB  Gitlab (-0.78)







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