UNM Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: UNM shows undervaluation with a low price-to-book ratio (0.6), historical recovery patterns, and strong institutional interest. Implied volatility is neutral, supporting a stable outlook HeliumHelium.




Bearish Case: High implied volatility and insider selling raise concerns. Market uncertainty could amplify downside risks, particularly from regulatory impacts and operational issues HeliumHeliumHelium.




Potential Outcomes: 40% chance of price increase due to undervaluation; 30% chance of stability from strong fundamentals; 30% downside risk from market volatility and insider selling.




Trading Oracle: Short put credit spread; sell $70 put, buy $67.5 put, expiring in 30 days. Exploit stable volatility with a neutral to mild bullish outlook. 75% probability of profit, leveraging current market conditions with favorable risk-reward.



January 16, 2025


Unum Forecast

UNM        Unum











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with UNM



CINF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CINF  Cincinnati Financial (0.95)


IWD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IWD  iShares Russell 1000 Value (0.94)


EVRG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EVRG  Evergy (0.93)


GVA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GVA  Granite Construction (0.93)


CMPO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CMPO  CompoSecure (0.93)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to UNM



UVXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UVXY  ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.0)


KRP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KRP  Kimbell Royalty Partners (0.01)


TMV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TMV  Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X Shares (0.01)


FXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FXY  Invesco CurrencyShares Japanese Yen (-0.01)


UAN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UAN  CVR Partners (-0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against UNM



XRX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XRX  Xerox (-0.84)


COTY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   COTY  Coty (-0.85)


BIIB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BIIB  Biogen (-0.85)


IEP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IEP  Icahn (-0.87)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.9)









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