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AI AVRE Forecast


Price Forecast:


Bearish   <->   Bullish

Bullish Case: AVRE's implied volatility, currently higher than market volatility, suggests strong bullish sentiments as upcoming economic releases may positively impact real estate values, driving prices up.

Bearish Case: Persistent economic headwinds and high implied volatility indicate market skepticism around AVRE's performance, increasing recession fears and likelihood of sustained price declines.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Economic recovery boosts prices (60%);

2. Stagnation maintains current levels (25%);

3. Recession risks lead to price drop (15%);

4. Central bank policy shifts impacting interest (40%).

Trading Oracle: Consider a bullish debit spread using AVRE call options at strikes 48/50 for December 2024 expiry. Implied volatility suggests upside potential. Targeting a 6-month outlook allows for significant moves.

September 05, 2024


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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with AVRE


VNQ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VNQ  Vanguard Real Estate Index (0.99)


DRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DRN  Direxion Real Estate Bull 3x Shares (0.96)


BND Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BND  Vanguard Total Bond Market (0.94)


IEI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IEI  BTC iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond (0.93)


PSA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PSA  Public Storage (0.93)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to AVRE


HELE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HELE  Helen of Troy (0.0)


NOVA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NOVA  Sunnova Energy International (-0.0)


WMG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WMG  Warner Music (-0.0)


AKAM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AKAM  Akamai (-0.0)


SOFI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SOFI  SoFi (0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against AVRE


SRTY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SRTY  ProShares UltraPro Short Russell2000 (-0.76)


RWM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RWM  ProShares Trust - ProShares Short Russell2000 (-0.77)


TBT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TBT  PowerShares UltraShort Lehman 20+ Yea (-0.89)


TMV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TMV  Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X Shares (-0.9)


DRV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DRV  Direxion Daily Real Estate Bear 3X Shares (-0.97)



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