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AXL Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: AXL's recent 49.2% monthly increase hints at recovery, driven by strategic moves in EV components and potential new contracts, boosting optimism and growth prospects.

Bearish Case: High volatility and AXL's 39.9% annual decline underscore risks from sector competition and debt issues, potentially leading to further struggles despite short-term gains.

Potential Outcomes: 45% chance of moderate recovery as AXL capitalizes on EV trends.
40% risk of continued decline due to financial and competitive pressures.
15% likelihood of stabilization if contracts or earnings surprise positively.

May 14, 2025

American Axle & Manufacturing Forecast

AXL American Axle & Manufacturing

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with AXL

ASH Ashland (0.91)

CLSK Cleanspark (0.9)

MUR Murphy Oil (0.89)

RCKT Rocket Pharmaceuticals (0.89)

M Macy's (0.87)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to AXL

SOHU Sohu.com Ltd. (0.0)

NGS Natural Gas Services Group (0.01)

TBT PowerShares UltraShort Lehman 20+ Yea (-0.02)

CTRA Coterra Energy (0.02)

DAN Dana (-0.03)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against AXL

BK Bank Of New York Mellon (-0.75)

LNG Cheniere Energy (-0.76)

LRN Stride (-0.81)

EOSE Eos Energy Enterprises (-0.84)

AGI Alamos Gold (-0.87)

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